American Jewish Voter Profile

Total Jewish Adult Population = 5,800,000

Who Will Jews Vote for in 2024?
Jews By Religious Affiliation
Orthodox Jews
Jews By Party ID
Are Jews Becoming More Republican?
Jews By Ideology
83% of Jews Live in 14 States Worth 271 Electoral Votes

Who Will Jews Vote for in 2024?

	Pew	JDCA	Chip50	Manhattan Institute	Avg
	Aug. 26-Sept. 2	Sept. 26-Oct 2	Aug. 30-Oct. 8	Oct. 5-9
Trump	34%	25%	30%	31%	30%
Harris	65%	69%	60%	67%	65%*

*This would be the lowest share of the Jewish vote since Michael Dukakis in 1988. The lowest percentage by any winning Democrat was 68% for Joe Biden in 2020.

Jews By Religious Affiliation

Party ID	% of Jewish Population	Number of Votes
Reform	32%	1,856,000
Conservative	15%	870,000
Orthodox	8%	464,000
Other	45%	2,610,000

Orthodox Jews

Party ID	% of Jewish Population	Number of Votes
Modern Orthodox	33%	153,120
Ultra-Orthodox	66%	306,240

Jews By Party ID

Party ID	% of Jewish Population	Number of Votes
Democrats	60%	3,480,000
Republicans	23%	1,334,000
Independents	15%	870,000

Are Jews Becoming More Republican?

	Orthodox		Conservative		Reform		Net Jewish
	2013	2020	2013	2020	2013	2020	2013	2024
Democrat	36%	20%	64%	70%	77%	80%	70%	69%
Republican	57%	75%	27%	28%	17%	18%	22%	29%

Jews By Ideology

Ideology	% of Jewish Population	Number of Votes
Liberal	48%	2,784,000
Moderate	27%	1,566,000
Conservative	26%	1,508,000

83% of Jews Live in 14 States Worth 271 Electoral Votes

State	Number of Jews	% Jewish	Electoral Votes
New York	1,672,025	8.5%	28
California	1,259,315	3.2%	54
Florida	753,865	3.3%	30
New Jersey	581,200	6.3%	14
Pennsylvania	347,850	2.7%	19
Illinois	334,180	2.7%	19
Massachusetts	318,450	4.5%	11
Maryland	250,860	4.1%	10
Texas	220,685	0.7%	40
Ohio	177,295	1.5%	13
Virginia	165,260	1.9%	17
Georgia	148,555	1.3%	16

Red = States that have historically leaned Republican
Blue = States that have historically leaned Democratic
Grey= States that have not leaned toward a party

Source: “Jewish Voters 2024 Election survey,” Manhattan Institute, (October 5-9, 2024).
“A Survey of Orthodox Jewish Political Views: Haredi and Modern Orthodox Sectors,” Nishma Research, (September 24, 2024).
“U.S. Jews’ political views,” Pew Research Center, (May 11, 2021).
“Party identification among religious groups and religiously unaffiliated voters,” Pew Research Center, (April 9, 2024).
“ American Views on the 2024 Election (Part I),” Chip50, (August 30 to October 8, 2024).
“October 2024 Battleground States Poll of Jewish Voters,” Jewish Democratic Council of America [JDCA] (September 26-October 2, 2024).