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Israeli Public Opinion Polls:
Attitudes Toward Iran

(Updated November 2013)


Israeli Polls: Table of Contents | Peace Index Polls | Polls of Israeli Arabs


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“Do you Support or Oppose a Unilateral Israeli Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities?”*

Month
Year
Pollster
Support
Oppose
November
2013
46%
38%
November
2013
52%
27%
October
2013
66%
22%
July
2012
26%
66%
April
2012
Jerusalem Post
45%
40%
February
2012
21%
63%
April
2009
Maagar Mohot Institute
75%
15%
March
2009
Truman Institute
54%
35%
December
2007
Israel Radio
21%
67%
February
2007
Peace Index
49%
45%
November
2006
Maariv
49%
46%
* - Not necessarily exact question wording

Yes or No: A Nuclear-Armed Iran Constitutes an Existential Threat to Israel?”*

Month

Year

Pollster

YES

NO

April
2013
75%
21%
April
2012
74%
22%
March
2012
77%
21%
November
2007
Haaretz
74%
19%
February
2007
Peace Index
82%
18%
November
2006
Maariv
66%
32%
* - Not necessarily exact question wording

Do you Support or Oppose an International Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities?”*

Month

Year

Pollster

Support

Oppose

April
2012
Jerusalem Post
72%
14%
February
2012
Peace Index
62%
34%
December
2011
43%
41%
November
2011
41%
39%
April
2008
Maagar Mohot Institute
35%
51%
August
2006
Maariv
63%
30%
* - Not necessarily exact question wording

Do you believe Iran will halt its nuclear program following the interim agreement with the P5+1?
              (New Wave Research, November 2013)

Will Not Halt
76.4%
Will Halt
12.6%
Don't Know
11%

Should Israel support or oppose an agreement being developed with Iran?
              (Israel Hayom, November 2013)

Support
16%
Oppose
66%
Don't Know
18%

According to media reports, Israel's senior security echelon, including the Chief of Staff and the heads of the Mossad and the Israel Security Agency, currently oppose an Israeli attack on Iran. Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Barak, however, say that sanctions on Iran are not helping and it is necessary to act before Iran attains nuclear weapons capability. On this issue, on whose judgment do you rely more? (Peace Index, July 2012)

 
Israeli Jews
That of the PM and DM
27.8%
That of the senior security echelon
57.1%
That of both to the same degree
1.6%
That of neither of them
4.7%
Don't know/decline to answer
8.8%

Some claim that Netanyahu and Barak’s statements that Israel will attack Iran by itself if it has no other choice are just a bluff aimed at pressuring the Americans to act more resolutely against the Iranian threat. Others claim that their statements reflect their real intention—to attack Iran. With which claim do you agree more? (Peace Index, July 2012)

 
Israeli Jews
That this is a bluff aimed at getting the Americans to act more resolutely
56.7%
That the statements reflect a real intention to attack
30.0%
Don't know/decline to answer
13.3%

In his most recent visit, U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta claimed that the sanctions on Iran are starting to have an effect and promised that “Iran will never have nuclear weapons.” Do you think Israel can or cannot rely on Panetta’s promise? (Peace Index, July 2012)

 
Israeli Jews
I'm sure it can
3.2%
I think it can
19.2%
I think it can't
34.7%
I am sure it can't
35.3%
Don't know/decline to answer
7.6%

Some claim that apparently, it will be impossible to prevent Iran from nuclearizing in the long term, and therefore Israel should come to terms with this and devise a defense strategy based on the assumption that it is not the only nuclear state in the region. Do you agree or not agree with this approach? (Peace Index, July 2012)

 
Israeli Jews
I don't agree at all
20.3%
I moderately disagree
15.1%
I moderately agree
43.9%
I strongly agree
16.1%
Don't know/decline to answer
4.6%

Does the forming of a national unity government advance the struggle of Israel against the Iranian nuclear program? (TNS for Maariv, May 8, 2012)

Yes
44.9%
No
39.5%
Don't know
15.6%

Would the price Israel would have to pay for living with the threat of an Iranian bomb be greater than the price it would pay for attacking Iran's nuclear facilities? (JCPA, March 26, 2012)

Yes - the price Israel would have to pay for living with an Iranian bomb would be greater than the price it would pay for attacking Iran's nuclear facilities
65%
(73% of men; 56% of women)
No - the price Israel would have to pay for living with an Iranian bomb would NOT be greater than the price it would pay for attacking Iran's nuclear facilities
27%

Only military action could stop Iran's nuclear program? (JCPA, March 26, 2012)

Agree
60%
(70% of men; 50% of women)
Disagree
37%

Do you agree or disagree with the statement that the Israeli home front will suffer equally whether Israel attacks Iran or the United States does? (JCPA, March 26, 2012)

Agree
63%
Disagree
29%

Do you think that the Israel Defense Forces could significantly damage Iran's nuclear program? (JCPA, March 26, 2012)

Yes
64%
No
29%

Do you agree with the statement that if Iran develops nuclear weapons, it will use them against Israel? (JCPA, March 26, 2012)

Yes
61%
No
34%

Do you think that if Iran develops nuclear weapons, the Palestinians and Hizbullah will grow more belligerent toward Israel? (JCPA, March 26, 2012)

Yes
75%
No
21%

Assuming that Iran is both able and intending to produce nuclear weapons, and assuming that Israel, according to various sources, also has nuclear weapons, what in your opinion are the chances that once Iran has nuclear weapons, it will use them against Israel? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Arabs
Very high chances
18.9%
17.3%
27.8%
Moderately high chances
32.3%
34.0%
22.2%
Moderately low chances
29.4%
29.3%
30.0%
Very low chances
13.6%
12.8%
17.8%
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
5.9%
6.5%
2.2%

In your opinion, will the sanctions now being imposed by Western countries cause or not cause Iran to stop its development of nuclear weapons? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Arabs
I'm sure they will
5.8%
2.9%
22.2%
I think they will
17.6%
17.6%
17.8%
I think they won't
41.1%
44.7%
21.1%
I'm sure they won't
33.2%
32.4%
37.8%
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
2.3%
2.5%
1.1%

In your opinion what are the chances that Israel will carry out a strike soon, even without cooperation with the United States? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012; August 8, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Jews (July)
Arabs
Very high chances
8.1%
6.4%
4.9%
17.8%
Moderately high chances
26.4%
15.5%
28.2%
12.2%
Moderately low chances
36.8%
39.1%
41.9%
23.3%
Very low chances
19.2%
15.5%
13.7%
40.0%
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
9.5%
10.1%
11.3%
6.7%

In your assessment, what are the chances that such an attack, conducted without U.S. cooperation, would succeed in stopping Iran's nuclearization for a substantial period of time? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012; August 8, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Jews (July)
Arabs
Very high chances
16.7%
16.3%
19.6%
18.9%
Moderately high chances
35.3%
36.8%
34.7%
26.7%
Moderately low chances
27.4%
27.3%
26.5%
27.8%
Very low chances
13.5%
11.5%
9.0%
24.4%
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
7.1%
8.0%
10.1%
2.2%

If an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities is carried out with U.S. cooperation, what, in your assessment, are the chances that such an attack would succeed in stopping Iran’s nuclearization for a substantial time? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012; August 8, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Jews (July)
Arabs
Very high chances
7.5%
5.7%
4.6%
17.8%
Moderately high chances
17.6%
17.1%
14.8%
20.0%
Moderately low chances
43.2%
43.8%
47.4%
40.0%
Very low chances
26.7%
28.4%
28.3%
16.7%
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
5.1%
5.0%
4.9%
5.6%

Defense Minister Barak recently said that in case of an attack on Iran, if Israeli citizens obey instructions and remain in their homes, Iran’s retaliatory strikes will probably cause only about 500 casualties. In your eyes, is this prediction about casualties more or less accurate, or will there be more or fewer casualties than this number? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Arabs
Barak's estimate of 500 casualties is more or less accurate
11.5%
12.7%
4.4%
The number of casualties will be lower
13.6%
11.7%
24.4%
The number of casualties will be higher
59.6%
60.5%
54.4%
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
15.4%
15.1%
16.7%

If the number of Israeli casualties is in the thousands, and assuming that the objective of a successful strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities is achieved, in your opinion, would Israel's national resilience be able to withstand this or not? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Arabs
I'm sure it wouldn't
11.7%
8.9%
27.8%
I think it wouldn't
25.9%
23.7%
38.9%
I think it would
35.1%
38.8%
14.4%
I'm sure it would
19.4%
20.1%
15.6
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
7.8%
8.5%
3.3%

The media recently reported that in his upcoming meeting with President Obama, President Peres will express opposition to an Israeli attack on Iran. In your opinion, it is or is it not appropriate for Peres to take a public stand on this issue as President of Israel? (Peace Index, February 29, 2012)

 
General Public
Jews
Arabs
I'm sure it's appropriate
19.6%
16.2%
38.9%
I think it's appropriate
32.4%
32.4%
32.2%
I think it's inappropriate
23.8%
23.7%
24.4%
I'm sure it's inappropriate
21.9%
25.0%
4.4%
I don't know/ Refuse to answer
2.3%
2.7%
--

There has been increased talk of a military strike by Israel against Iran's nuclear facilities, even though the United States, the UK and Germany have advised against it. What do you think Israel should do? (Brookings, February 26, 2012)

 
All Israelis
Israeli Jews only
Strike Iran's nuclear facilities, even without the support of the US
19%
22%
Strike only if Israel gains at least American support
42%
43%
Do not strike
34%
32%

What do you believe the likely outcome would be if Israel strikes Iran? (Brookings, February 26, 2012)

 
All Israelis
Israeli Jews only
It would delay Iran's ability to develop nuclear weapons by 1-2 years
9%
10%
It would delay Iran's capabilities by 3-5 years
22%
25%
It would delay Iran's capabilities by more than 5 years
22%
19%
It would accelerate Iran's nuclear program
11%
12%
It would have no effect on Iran's nuclear program
19%
21%

Given America's recommendation that Israel not strike Iran, what do you believe the U.S. government's reaction would be if Israel strikes anyway? (Brookings, February 26, 2012)

 
All Israelis
Israeli Jews only
It would join the war on Israel's behalf
27%
28%
It would support Israel diplomatically, but not provide military assistance
39%
37%
It would stay neutral
14%
16%
It would punish Israel by reducing its current support to Israel
15%
16%

In your estimation, how long would an armed conflict with Iran last if Israel strikes its nuclear facilities? (Brookings, February 26, 2012)

 
All Israelis
Israeli Jews only
Days
18%
20%
Weeks
19%
20%
Months
29%
29%
Years
22%
21%

If Israel strikes Iran's nuclear facilities, in your view, how would this affect the Iranian government? (Brookings, February 26, 2012)

 
All Israelis
Israeli Jews only
It would be strengthened
44%
38%
It would have no effect
4%
4%
It would be weakened
45%
49%

If Israel strikes, what do you think Hezbollah would do? (Brookings, February 26, 2012)

 
All Israelis
Israeli Jews only
Hezbollah would join Iran in retaliation
68%
74%
Hezbollah would only retaliate if Israel strikes them, too
27%
23%

Attitudes among Jewish Israelis: (Peace Index, December 14, 2011)

the proclaimed efforts of Western states to prevent Iran from attaining nuclear capability are not real and genuine
52%
Israel should come to terms with the fact that Iran will ultimately have nuclear weapons, and should develop a security strategy based on the assumption that Israel will not be the only nuclear state in the region
61%

Which would be better: for both Israel and Iran to have nuclear weapons, or for neither to have nuclear weapons? (World Public Opinion, December 1, 2011)

neither
65%
both
19%

Do you think that sanctions by the West will prevent Iran from making nuclear weapons? (Israel Hayom, November 22, 2011)

Yes
41.3%
No
48.6%
Don't know
10%

Are you confident in the decisions made in the Iranian matter by Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Barak? (Haaretz, November 2, 2011)

Yes
52%
No
37%
Don't know/no reply
11%

Should there be public discussion of the attack or does this cause damage? (Haaretz, November 2, 2011)

Causes damage
51%
Important to have discussion
39%
Don't know
10%

What are the chances that attacking Iran will cause a war against Hezbollah and Hamas? (Haaretz, November 2, 2011)

High
59%
Moderate
21%
Low
7%
No chance
5%
Don't know
8%

If Iran gets an atomic bomb will you consider leaving Israel? (Haaretz, November 2, 2011)

Yes
11%
No
84%
Don't know
5%

The following percent of Israelis... (Center for Iranian Studies at Tel Aviv University, May 22, 2009)

would consider leaving the country if Iran obtained a nuclear weapon.
23%
believe Iran will obtain an atomic bomb.
81%
does not believe that the current American policy of engagement will persuade Iran to change its course
74%
believe that Israel should wait for the results of US engagement before pursuing alternative paths.
49%
support an immediate Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear sites.
51%

The following percent of Israelis, based on self-identified political and religious alignment and age, are fearful of Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon (Center for Iranian Studies at Tel Aviv University, May 22, 2009)

Left wing
80%
Right wing
67%
Centrist
88%
Secular
88%
Ultra-Orthodox Haredim
67%
Aged 42 and older
89%
Aged younger than 42
61%

The following percent of Israelis, based on age, would immigrate should Iran acquire a nuclear weapon (Center for Iranian Studies at Tel Aviv University, May 22, 2009)

Aged 42 and older
89%
Aged younger than 42
64%

The following percent of Israelis, based on self-identified religious and political and gender orientations, favor attacking Iran (Center for Iranian Studies at Tel Aviv University, May 22, 2009)

Men
61%
Women
47%
Secular
51%
National Religious
62%
Haredi
60%
Left wing
38%
Right wing
63%

Do you count on the USA and on the Europeans to succeed in stopping the nuclear program of Iran by peaceful means and via UN Security Council resolutions? (Maariv, November 24, 2006)

Yes 24%
No 75%

 

Do you think that in the end, even if it is a matter of taking a number of years, the Iranians will succeed in their efforts to get nuclear weapons? (Maariv, November 24, 2006)

Yes 70%
No 18%

 

If Iran succeeds in attaining military nuclear capability, will you consider leaving the country? (Maariv, November 24, 2006)

Won't leave the county under any circumstances 70%
Would consider leaving but probably stay 20%
Might leave 7%

 

 

Should Israel attack Iran even if it expects an Iranian response that will cost dearly in losses, and the resulting postponement in the Iranian nuclear program will be for only a short period? (Maariv, November 24, 2006)

Attack 45%
Don't 49%

 

 

If it turns out that all the international diplomatic efforts fail, should Israel attack the Iranian nuclear facilities even alone and without international support? (Maariv, November 9, 2006)

Yes
49%
No
46%

 

 

Do you count on the United States and on the Europeans to succeed in stopping the nuclear program of Iran by peaceful means and via United Nations (UN) Security Council resolutions? (Maariv, November 9, 2006)

Yes
24%
No
75%

 

 

Do you count on PM Ehud Olmert's handling of the nuclear threat and the conflict with Iran? (Israel Radio's “Another Matter,” September 15, 2006)

Yes 20%
No 55%
Other 25%

 

 

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