When it comes to estimating the size of demographic groups, Americans rarely get it right. In two recent YouGov polls, respondents were asked to guess the percentage (ranging from 0% to 100%) of American adults who are members of 43 different groups. The surveys found that Amercians tend to vastly overestimate the size of minority groups.
|Category||Estimated Proportion||True Proportion|
|Are Native American||27%||1%|
|Are gay or lesbian||30%||3%|
Source: @YouGovAmerica, (January 14 - 20, 2022).