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American Public Opinion Polls: Opinion Toward the 2015 Iran Deal

(March 2017)

Should we (the U.S.) keep or pull out from the JCPOA agreement? (Harvard-Harris, March 2017)

 

Total

We should keep the agreement

47%

We should pull out from the agreement

53%

Do you believe Iran is sticking to, or violating the terms of the JCPOA agreement? (Harvard-Harris, March 2017)

 

Total

Iran is violating the terms of the agreement

71%

Iran is sticking to the terms of the agreement

29%

Do you approve or disapprove of the Iran nuclear agreement? (Gallup, February 3-7, 2016)

 

Total

Approve

30%

Disapprove

57%

No opinion

14%

How closely are you following the news about the nuclear agreement reached between Iran, the U.S., and five other nations last year that recently went into effect - very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not at all? (Gallup, February 3-7, 2016)

 

Total

Very closely

18%

Somewhat closely

37%

Not closely

26%

Not at all

17%

Do you see the development of nuclear weapons by Iran within the next 10 years as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all? (Gallup, February 3-7, 2016)

 

Total

Critical

75%

Important but not critical

18%

Not important

5%

No opinion

1%

What is your overall opinion of Iran? Is it very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? (Gallup, February 3-7, 2016)

 

Total

Very favorable

3%

Mostly favorable

11%

Mostly unfavorable

39%

Very unfavorable

40%

No opinion

7%

(Half sample poll) As you may know, the U.S. and other countries have announced a deal to lift economic sanctions against Iran in exchange for Iran agreeing not to produce nuclear weapons. Do you support or oppose this agreement? (The Washington Post, September 17, 2015)

 

Total

Support

45%

Oppose

44%

No opinion

11%

(Half sample poll) As you may know, the U.S. and other countries have announced a deal to lift economic sanctions against Iran in exchange for Iran agreeing not to produce nuclear weapons. International inspectors would monitor Iran’s facilities, and if Iran is caught breaking the agreement economic sanctions would be imposed again. Do you support or oppose this agreement? (The Washington Post, September 17, 2015)

 

Total

Support

51%

Oppose

41%

No opinion

8%

How confident are you in the abilities of the U.S. and the IAEA to monitor Iranian compliance? (PEW, September 2015)

 

Total

Very confident

12%

Somewhat confident

30%

Somewhat unconfident

27%

Not at all confident

24%

How confident are you that Iran's leaders will hold up their side of the agreement? (PEW, September 2015)

 

Total

Very confident

2%

Somewhat confident

18%

Somewhat unconfident

28%

Not at all confident

42%

Do you approve or disapprove of the recent nuclear agreement reached between the U.S. and Iran? (PEW, September 2015)

 

Total

Approve

21%

Disapprove

49%

Don't know/refuse

30%

How confident are you about the ability of the U.S. and the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) to monitor Iran's compliance?(AJC, September 2015)

 

U.S. Jews

Very confident

6.1%

Somewhat confident

37.8%

Somewhat unconfident

28.2%

Not at all confident

26.1%

Will Israel's security be more or less at risk with the nuclear deal?(AJC, September 2015)

 

U.S. Jews

More at risk

42.8%

Less at risk

17.9%

Stay the same

37.8%

How confident are you that this agreement will prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons?(AJC, September 2015)

 

U.S. Jews

Very confident

4.9%

Somewhat confident

30.7%

Somewhat unconfident

30.1%

Not confident at all

33.2%

Recently, the U.S., along with five other countries, reached a deal on Iran's nuclear program. Do you approve or disapprove of this agreement?(AJC, September 2015)

 

U.S. Jews

Approve strongly

16.4%

Approve somewhat

34.2%

Disapprove somewhat

19.8%

Disapprove strongly

27.4%

As you may have heard, one part of the nuclear agreement allows Iranians to inspect their own possible covert nuclear activities at the Parchin site. After collecting samples, photos, and videos, the Iranians will send this information to the U.N. inspectors instead of allowing inspectors to come see the facility. Knowing this, do you approve or disapprove of this agreement? (The Israel Project, September 2015)

 

Total

Approve

20%

Disapprove

66%

Don't know/refuse

14%

Some supporters of the Iran deal have suggested that elected officials who are both Jewish and oppose the nuclear deal with Iran are opposed to the deal because they are more loyal to Israel than the U.S. In your opinion, do these comments constitute anti-Semitism?
(The Israel Project, September 2015)

 

Total

Very anti-Semitic

12%

Somewhat anti-Semitic

25%

Not very anti-Semitic

15%

Not anti-Semitic at all

17%

Don't know/refuse

32%

Indicate which of the next two statements you agree with more: (The Israel Project, September 2015)

 

Total

The deal with Iran is good progress and will limit their nuclear program

28%

The deal with Iran is not tough enough and will eventually lead to the Iranians getting a nuclear weapon

58%

Don't know/refuse

14%

Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of this agreement? (The Israel Project, September 2015)

 

Total

Approve

36%

Disapprove

49%

Don't know/refuse

15%

How much have you seen, heard, or read, about the Congressional debate surrounding the nuclear deal with Iran? (The Israel Project, September 2015)

 

Total

A lot

31%

Some

46%

Very little

17%

Nothing

6%

The United States has reached an agreement with Iran that ends some economic sanctions on that country in exchange for cutbacks in Iran’s nuclear weapons program. How likely is it, that Iran will uphold its end of the deal? (Rasmussen, September 2015)

 

Total

Very likely

8%

Likely

35%

Not very likely

18%

Not likely at all

39%

Will the treaty the Obama administration has negotiated with Iran make the Middle East safer or put it more at risk? Or will the treaty have no impact on the safety and security of the region? (Rasmussen, September 2015)

 

Total

It will make the Middle East safer

23%

It will not have an impact

27%

It will put the region more at risk

40%

Don't know/refuse

10%

The United States has reached an agreement with Iran that ends some economic sanctions on that country in exchange for verifiable cutbacks in Iran's nuclear weapons program. Should any agreement the Obama administration makes with Iran regarding the Iranian nuclear program require the approval of Congress? (Rasmussen, September 2015)

 

Total

The agreement needs to be approved by Congress

66%

The agreement does not require Congressional approval

20%

Don't know/refuse

14%

If your Senators and Congressman support the Iran deal, would you ever vote for them again in the future? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Yes

28.9%

11.9%

44.9%

No

54.1%

74.2%

36.1%

Don't know/refuse

17%

13.9%

19%

If a majority of Representatives vote against the JCPOA and Obama vetoes the legislation, should your Congressional Representative support the President's veto or vote to override the veto? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Support

33.5%

9.3%

60.3%

Override

56%

84.7%

24.6%

Don't know/refuse

10.5%

6%

15.2%

Do you believe the U.S. Congress should be required to vote on the deal, or should the deal be able to go into effect without a Congressional vote? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Required to vote

69%

81.7%

48%

Go into effect w/o

21.7%

10.9%

38.4%

Don't know/refuse

9.3%

7.3%

13.6%

Do you think that President Obama and Secretary of State Kerry are telling Americans all of the facts about the deal, or only what they think will help the agreement pass Congress? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

All the facts

24.6%

5.4%

48.4%

Only what helps pass

64.6%

87.0%

40.5%

Don't know/refuse

10.8%

7.6%

11.2%

Should Congress increase sanctions on Iran to stop it's terrorist activities even though it has threatened to walk away from the deal? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Yes

69.4%

79.7%

47.7%

No

21.5%

10.7%

34.8%

Don't know/refuse

13.1%

9.6%

17.5%

Do you think the Iran deal will make Iran a friend to the United States or a more dangerous enemy? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Friend

17.4%

4%

35.4%

More dangerous enemy

62%

85.1%

36.9%

Don't know/refuse

20.7%

10.9%

27.7%

Should Congress approve a deal that allows Iran to inspect their own nuclear sites without supervision from international inspectors? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Yes

7%

3.7%

11.3%

No

88.1%

93.8%

79.3%

Don't know/refuse

4.9%

2.5%

9.3%

Should your Congressmen and Senators vote for an Iran deal that lifts sanctions and provides Iran $100 billion that it can use to finance it's terrorist activities? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Yes

9.5%

2.7%

18.1%

No

77.9%

90.4%

64%

Don't know/refuse

12.5%

6.9%

17.9%

Should your Congressional representatives vote in favor of a deal that gives Iran 24 days notice before inspections of it's nuclear labs can take place? (Secure American Now, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Yes

26.6%

12.2%

43.8%

No

64%

80.7%

42.2%

Don't know/refuse

9.4%

7.1%

14%

Would you recommend that your members of Congress approve or reject the JCPOA? (University of Maryland, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Approve

52%

30%

69%

Reject

47%

69%

32%

If you were in Congress and had to cast an up-or-down vote on the recent deal with Iran that lifts sanctions for ten years in exchange for Iran curtailing its pursuit of a nuclearprogram over that time period -- would you approve or reject the deal? (Fox News, August 2015)

 

Total

Approve

31%

Reject

58%

Don't know/No answer

10%

Do you think Iran can be trusted to honor the agreement, or not? (Fox News, August 2015)

 

Total

Yes

18%

No

75%

Don't know/No answer

6%

As you may know, New York Senator Chuck Schumer, the second-ranking Democrat inthe U.S. Senate and also a prominent supporter of Israel, recently stated he opposes theIran nuclear deal. Does Schumer’s opposition make you more or less favorable towardthe deal, or doesn't it affect you either way? (Fox News, August 2015)

 

Total

More favorable

7%

Less favorable

13%

No difference

76%

Don't know/No answer

3%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama's handling of Iran? (Gallup, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Approve

33%

10%

56%

Disapprove

55%

82%

29%

The United States and other countries have recently negotiated an agreement with Iran to curb that country's nuclear program and prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. Have you seen or heard a lot, a little, or nothing at all about this? (Monmouth University, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

A lot

50%

63%

48%

A little

38%

29%

41%

Nothing

12%

9%

11%

Should Congress vote to approve or not approve this agreement, or are you not sure? (Monmouth University, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Approve

27%

13%

41%

Not approve

32%

55%

14%

Not sure

41%

32%

45%

How much do you trust Iran to abide by the terms of this agreement - a lot, a little, or not at all? (Monmouth University, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

A lot

6%

2%

11%

A little

28%

17%

39%

Not at all

61%

80%

43%

Not sure

5%

1%

7%

Who do you think got more of what they wanted from this deal, the United States or Iran, or did both countries get what they wanted? (Monmouth University, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

U.S.

14%

8%

15%

Iran

41%

67%

23%

Both

23%

9%

39%

Neither

5%

4%

4%

Not Sure

17%

13%

19%

Do you think the nuclear deal with Iran will make the world safer or less safe? (Quinnipiac, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Safer

30%

4%

54%

Less Safe

58%

87%

32%

Don't know/No answer

15%

11%

16%

Do you support or oppose the nuclear deal with Iran? (Quinnipiac, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Support

28%

3%

52%

Oppose

57%

86%

32%

Don't know/No answer

15%

11%

16%

Do you approve of the way that President Obama has dealt with Iran in general?(Quinnipiac, August 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

Support

35%

3%

67%

Oppose

56%

93%

23%

Don't know/No answer

9%

4%

10%

How much have you seen, read, or heard about the negotiations with Iran in regard to their nuclear program and international sanctions? (The Israel Project, July 2015)

 

Jewish Americans

A lot

42%

Some

42%

Not much

11%

Nothing

4%

The U.S. Congress has 60 days to review the deal and vote on whether or not to lift U.S. sanctions on Iran. In your opinion, should Congress vote to...? (The Israel Project, July 2015)

 

Jewish Americans

Approve the deal

40%

Reject the deal

45%

Don't know

15%

As you may know, the U.S. Congress must approve the agreement the United States and 5 other countries reached with Iran that is aimed at peventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons before it can take effect. Do you think Congress should approve or reject the deal with Iran? (CNN/ORC, July 2015)

 

Total

Congress should approve the deal

44%

Congress should reject the deal

52%

No opinion

5%

As you may know, an agreement was reached in which the United States and other countries would lift major economic sanctions against Iran, in exchange for Iran restricting its nuclear program in a way that makes it harder for it to produce nuclear weapons. Do you support or oppose this agreement, or don’t know enough to say? (Los Angeles Jewish Journal, July 2015)

 

Jewish Americans

All Americans

I support the deal

48%

28%

I oppose the deal

28%

24%

Don't know enough

25%

48%

The U.S. and other countries have announced a deal to lift economic sanctions against Iran in exchange for Iran agreeing not to produce nuclear weapons. International inspectors would monitor Iran’s facilities, and if Iran is caught breaking the agreement economic sanctions would be imposed again. Do you support or oppose this agreement? (Washington Post/ABC, July 2015)

 

Total

I support the deal

56%

I oppose the deal

37%

No opinion

7%

Do you support or oppose the agreement (Republicans)? (Washington Post/ABC, July 2015)

 

Total

I support the deal

41%

I oppose the deal

54%

No opinion

5%

Do you support or oppose the agreement (Democrats)? (Washington Post/ABC, July 2015)

 

Total

I support the deal

69%

I oppose the deal

25%

No opinion

6%

How confident are you that this agreement will prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons? (Washington Post/ABC, July 2015)

 

Total

Very confident

6%

Somewhat confident

29%

Not so confident

22%

Not confident at all

42%

No opinion

1%

Do you approve of the way that President Obama has dealt with Iran in general? (Washington Post/ABC, July 2015)

 

Total

Republicans

Democrats

I approve

35%

80%

59%

I disapprove

52%

20%

41%

Have you heard of the nuclear agreement that has been reached between Iran and the P5+1? (Pew, July 2015)

 

Total

I have heard of it

79%

I have not heard of it

21%

Do you approve of the nuclear agreement that has been reached between Iran and the P5+1 (total)? (Pew, July 2015)

 

Total

Approve

38%

Disapprove

48%

No opinion

14%

Do you approve of the nuclear agreement that has been reached between Iran and the P5+1 (Republicans)? (Pew, July 2015)

 

Total

Approve

14%

Disapprove

75%

No opinion

11%

Do you approve of the nuclear agreement that has been reached between Iran and the P5+1 (Democrats)? (Pew, July 2015)

 

Total

Approve

59%

Disapprove

25%

No opinion

26%

Do you have confidence that Iran's leaders will hold up their side of the deal? (Pew, July 2015)

 

Total

Great deal of confidence

3%

Fair amount of confidence

23%

Not too confident

35%

Not confident at all

38%

Do you have confidence in the international monitors ability to monitor Iranian compliance with the deal? (Pew, July 2015)

 

Total

Great deal of confidence

11%

Fair amount of confidence

34%

Not too confident

33%

Not confident at all

21%

What do you think the effect of the deal will be on Iranian-U.S. relations? (Pew, July 2015)

 

Total

There will be little change

42%

U.S.-Iranian relations will worsen

28%

U.S.-Iranian relations will improve

25%

How confident are you that this agreement would prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons? (Quinnipiac, April 2015)

 

Total

Very confident

4%

Somewhat confident

31%

Not so confident

23%

Not confident at all

39%

Don't know/refuse to answer

3%

Would you support or oppose legislation that would make any Iran agreement subject to congressional approval? (Quinnipiac, April 2015)

 

Total

Support

65%

Oppose

24%

Don't know/refuse to answer

10%


Source:“National: Iran got better end of deal,” Monmouth University, (August 10. 2015);
Agiesta, Jennifer. “Majority wants Congress to reject Iran deal,” CNN/ORC, (July 28, 2015);
Clement, Scott. “56% of people support Obama's Iran deal. But they don't think it will work,” The Washington Post, (July 20, 2015);
“Iran nuclear agreement meets with public skepticism,” Pew Research Center, (July 21, 2015);
“American voters back Iran deal by wide margin, Quinnipiac poll finds,” Quinnipiac (April 27, 2015)