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Palestinian Public Opinion Polls: Views on Political/Religious Factions

Which Palestinian leader do you trust most: (Near East Consulting, May 22 and 24, 2007)

Abu Mazen 29%
Ismael Hanieh 21%
Neither 50%

If elections were being held today, which political party would you vote for? (PCPO, November 16-21, 2005)

 

Response

8/3/05

11/23/05

People’s party

1.0%

1.2%

The popular front for the liberation of Palestine (PFLP)

4.1%

5.0%

Fatah

37.4%

37.5%

Hamas

26.9%

22.1%

The democratic front of the liberation of Palestine (DFLP)

2.3%

1.8%

The Islamic jihad

5.7%

2.7%

FIDA

2.1%

1.5%

Popular struggle (Nidal) front

0.2%

0.6%

Palestinian Liberation Front

0.1%

0.4%

Arab Liberation Front

0.2%

0.1%

Liberation (Tahreer) Party

0.1%

0.2%

Independents

12.0%

18.6%

The Palestinian National Initiative

3.3%

3.5%

Other:

0.4%

0.5%

None of the above

4.2%

4.3%

What of the following parties and political affiliations do you support? (Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies, An Najah National University)

 
11/3-5/04
11/19-20/04
People's party
0.7
1.0
Democratic Front
2.1
1.6
Islamic Jihad
4.9
3.9
Fateh
27.2
37.9
Hamas
20.0
16.5
Fida
0.4
0.7
Public Front
2.7
2.6
I am an independent nationalist
6.7
8.8
I am an independent Islamist
7.7
6.1
I do not support any of the above
26.8
19.8
Others, specify
0.8
1.0

Which Palestinian personality do you trust the most? * The question was open-ended (Jerusalem Media & Communication Center)

 
June 2004
May 2005
Yasser Arafat
23.6
1.1
Marwan Barghouthi
6.3
5.7
Mahmoud a-Zahar
3.0
5.4
Khaled Misha'al
2.8
3.1
Isma'eel Hania
2.2
2.0
Haider abd al-Shafi
1.8
Sa'eb Erekat
1.5
1.3
Ahmed Yassin
1.4
Hanan Ashrawi
1.4
Ahmad Sa'adat
1.3
1.3
'Abdallah al-Shami
1.1
1.9
Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas)
1.0
24.8
Mustafa al-Barghouthi
2.3
Hassan Yousef
1.1
Abu Ala
1.0
Other figures
11.3
13.5
I Don't trust anyone
29.4
32.9
No answer
11.9
3.9

Which of the following factions do you support/trust most? Which is best able to achieve its goals? (JMCC)

Total

  1/1994 7/94 10/95 1/96 2/96 8/96 11/96 12/96 4/97 5/97 7/97 11/97 5/98 8/98 3/99 8/99 10/99 3/2000 6/00
PLO     0.2         1.0                      
DFLP 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.9           3.3  
Islamic Jihad 5.4 3.2 2.4 1.4 2.5 1.4 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.6 1.8 0.8 1.8 2.6 2.0 1.9 21.8  
Fateh 40.4 40.9 41.3 38.9 39.2 34.0 42.0 35.2 38.5 37.9 34.8 40.9 32.9 34.4 37.6 28.0 33.8 31.8 34.5
Palestinian People's Party (PPP) 5.2 4.0 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.2         3.8  
Hamas 14.2 10.8 10.7 12.3 11.5 6.5 9.3 10.3 10.6 10.3 11.3 17.3 13.3 13.4 14.7 8.5 11.1 27.8 12.0
FIDA 2.0 2.4 0.5   0.7 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.4   0.7                
PFLP 7.7 6.9 3.6 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.2 1.4 2.9 3.1 2.0 2.8 3.7 2.0 2.8 1.3 5.3 2.3
Palestinian Struggle Front     0.1                                
Fida       0.9           0.7   0.4           4.0  
Islamic religion     0.9                                
Democracy building movements     0.1                                
Other Islamic parties       1.9 3.3   2.3 3.8 5.0 4.2 2.3 3.0 3.9 1.3     2.9    
NDC         0.2                            
Coalition - Haider             0.2                        
Democratic Coalition               0.1                      
Independent   16.8                                  
Secularists supporting peace               0.3 0.6 0.6                  
Secularists opposing peace               0.1                      
Other 9.9     1.5 0.4 2.0 1.2   1.3 1.7 1.0 1.2 2.9 3.3 2.8 3.4 2.7   3.9
Do not trust anyone     20.9 17.1 20.0 29.4 21.1 27.0 25.9 31.3 31.2 17.3 29.11 28.9 31.0 42.2 34.1   37.3
No answer/no opinion 12.5 12.9 17.5 21.9 17.3 22.2 18.0 15.9 13.9 8.1 11.4 14.5 13.1 13.2 9.3 13.1 12.2   10.0
  12/2000 4/01 9/01 10/011 12/01 3/02 12/02 4/03 8/032 12/033 5/05 5/054
PLO / Other PLO faction 0.3       1.9              
Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigades           1.9         0.3  
DFLP 0.3   1.1 0.6         1.9 0.7 0.4 1.3
Islamic Jihad 3.0 4.9 5.7 5.7 5.3 3.7 5.7 6.3 6.5 4.5 3.7 3.4
Fateh 32.1 35.1 29.2 19.8 26.1 29.5 28.1 22.6 26.1 25.3 36.1 34.3
Palestinian People's Party (PPP) 0.9 1.1   0.3         1.0 0.6 1.1 1.3
Hamas 19.2 17.7 20.7 20.9 21.3 19.8 20.1 22.0 17.6 20.1 19.8 25.1
FIDA 0.4               0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4
PFLP 1.7 1.5 4.3 2.9 3.0 3.9 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.8 2.9 4.0
Hizballah 0.8                      
Other Islamic parties/faction 0.8 3.2 1.7   2.2   1.6 1.2 0.1   2.3  
Nationalist Independents       4.5         0.8 5.2   5.7
Islamist Independents       4.5         7.2 5.7   5.7
Other 0.8 1.9 2.3 9.5 1.0 5.3 1.9 1.9   0.4 1.1 0.7
Do not trust anyone 28.1 23.1 22.7 31.3 30.4 29.6 31.4 34.3 33.3 34.0 28.2  
No answer/no opinion 11.6 11.5 12.3   8.8 6.3 9.1 9.7     3.7  

1IMRA
2Bir Zeit
3PSR
4An-Najah University, May 11-13, 2005

Which of the following factions do you support/trust most? Which is best able to achieve its goals? (JMCC Poll)

West Bank

  1/1994 7/94 10/95 1/96 2/96 8/96 11/96 12/96 4/97 5/97 7/97 11/97 5/98 8/98 3/99 8/99 10/99 3/2000 6/00
PLO     0.2         1.5                      
DFLP 3.2 2.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.3 1.1           4.5  
Islamic Jihad 4.9 2.8 1.7 0.5 2.0 1.1 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.1 2.0 0.9 0.5 1.5 2.7 1.0 2.1 27.7  
Fateh 37.3 42.2 41.7 36.6 36.7 29.3 38.2 31.4 35.8 38.0 34.8 38.2 30.7 30.3 35.0 29.1 35.0 32.0 31.8
Palestinian People's Party (PPP) 5.6 1.3 1.0 2.6 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.7         4.7  
Hamas 12.3 9.2 8.8 10.6 10.8 6.5 9.8 8.3 9.9 8.0 11.1 16.3 11.4 12.9 12.6 7.9 9.4 29.1 10.2
FIDA 1.6 2.3 0.5 1.2   0.9 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7           5.6  
PFLP 7.4 5.9 3.9 1.4 2.5 3.3 3.4 4.0 1.8 2.9 3.7 2.0 3.2 3.7 2.5 3.3 1.3 6.8 2.0
Palestinian Struggle Front     --                                
Fida         0.6                         6.6  
Islamic religion     1.3                                
Democracy building movements     --                                
Other Islamic parties       1.3 3.2   2.1 4.5 7.2 5.3 2.6 4.1 4.9 1.7     3.4    
NDC         0.0                            
Coalition - Haider             0.1                        
Democratic Coalition               0.1                      
Independent   17.7                                  
Secularists supporting peace               0.4 0.7 0.9                  
Secularists opposing peace               --                      
Other 12.3     1.8 0.1 2.6 1.5   1.2 1.7 1.1 1.2 3.9 4.3 3.0 3.4 3.7   4.5
Do not trust anyone     22.9 20.2 22.1 29.9 25.8 27.2 25.0 30.3 30.3 17.4 30.3 30.9 33.0 41.9 33.3   39.2
No answer/no opinion 15.4 13.2 17.2 23.8 18.7 24.4 15.5 18.9 15.1 9.7 11.2 17.2 13.4 14.7 11.2 13.4 11.8   13.1
  12/2000 4/01 9/01 12/01 3/02 12/02 4/03 8/03 (Source: Bir Zeit) 12/03 (Source: PSR)
PLO / Other PLO faction 0.4     2.5          
Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigades         1.1        
DFLP 0.4   1.1         2.0 0.8
Islamic Jihad 2.6 4.2 5.3 4.7 4.0 6.1 6.6 7.8 5.3
Fateh 31.8 34.5 24.9 23.3 26.0 24.1 18.0 26.3 26.1
Palestinian People's Party (PPP) 1.4 1.3           1.5 0.7
Hamas 16.9 14.5 18.7 16.7 18.5 19.5 17.7 16.1 16.6
FIDA 0.7             1.0 0.1
PFLP 1.4 1.3 3.8 2.5 4.0 2.2 1.6 2.4 3.1
Hizballah 0.9                
Other Islamic parties/faction 0.5 3.4 0.9 2.1   2.0 1.2 0.2  
Nationalist Independents                 5.2
Islamist Independents               7.6 6.1
Other 0.9 2.8 3.8 1.3 5.3 2.0 1.8   1.4
Do not trust anyone 28.2 24.1 26.5 35.1 34.0 35.3 41.1 31.6 34.5
No answer/no opinion 13.9 13.9 15.0 11.8 6.9 8.8 12.0    

Which of the following factions do you support/trust most? Which is best able to achieve its goals? ( JMCC Poll)

Gaza Strip

  1/1994 7/94 10/95 1/96 2/96 8/96 11/96 12/96 4/97 5/97 7/97 11/97 5/98 8/98 3/99 8/99 10/99 3/2000 6/00
PLO     0.3         --                      
DFLP 1.8 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 -- 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7           1.4  
Islamic Jihad 6.6 4.0 1.0 2.8 3.3 1.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.1 3.6 3.2 1.4 2.3 2.3 3.7 1.6 11.4  
Fateh 47.1 38.5 40.5 43.0 43.8 41.7 46.9 42.3 42.8 37.7 34.9 45.7 36.7 41.6 42.2 26.1 31.5 31.3 39.3
Palestinian People's Party (PPP) 4.3 3.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.2         20.0  
Hamas 18.4 13.5 15.6 15.6 12.7 6.6 9.2 14.2 11.7 14.3 11.6 19.0 16.9 14.3 18.3 9.6 13.9 25.5 15.1
FIDA 2.7 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.0 --   0.2   0.5 0.0              
PFLP 8.4 8.8 2.9 3.8 3.1 2.0 3.4 1.8 0.9 2.8 2.1 2.1 2.1 3.7 1.1 1.8 1.4 2.7 2.7
Palestinian Struggle Front                                      
Fida               0.3   0.7               1.0  
Islamic religion                                      
Democracy building movements     0.3                                
Other Islamic parties       3.1 3.6   2.5 2.5 1.5 2.3 1.6 0.9 2.1 0.5     2.1    
NDC         0.9                            
Coalition - Haider             --                        
Democratic Coalition               --                      
Independent   15.0                                  
Secularists supporting peace               0.3 0.4 0.0                  
Secularists opposing peace               0.3                      
Other 4.7     0.5 1.4 0.7 0.6   1.3 1.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 2.3 3.6 1.3   4.5
Do not trust anyone     15.9 11.3 16.3 28.6 13.9 26.6 27.4 33.1 32.6 17.2 27.2 25.5 27.6 42.6 35.4   33.8
No answer/no opinion 6.0 12.3 17.8 18.9 14.5 18.4 22.4 10.2 11.7 5.0 11.6 9.8 12.1 10.6 6.2 12.6 12.8   4.6
  12/2000 4/01 9/01 12/01 3/02 12/02 4/03 8/03* 12/03** 6/04* 6/04^
PLO / Other PLO faction 0.5     0.9             0.7
Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigades         3.2           0.8
DFLP 0.2   1.1         1.6 0.4 0.5  
Islamic Jihad 3.6 6.1 6.4 6.4 3.2 5.0 5.9 4.1 3.1 4.9 5.5
Fateh 32.7 36.1 36.6 30.9 35.2 35.0 30.7 25.8 24.0 22.6 26.4
Palestinian People's Party (PPP) 0.0 0.7           0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8
Hamas 23.2 23.2 24.1 29.4 22.0 21.1 29.3 20.3 26.0 24.8 21.7
FIDA 0.0             0.0 0.0 0.7 0.6
PFLP 2.0 1.8 5.0 3.9 3.6 1.8 2.7 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.9
Hizballah 0.7                    
Other Islamic parties/faction 1.4 2.7 0.2 2.5   0.9 1.4 0.0   0.7 0.7
Nationalist Independents                 5.4 3.1  
Islamist Independents               6.3 5.0 7.6  
Other 0.7 0.4 3.0 0.5 5.5 1.8 2.0   0.4   0.1
Do not trust anyone 28.0 21.4 16.1 22.3 22.3 24.8 22.5 36.3 33.1   28.2
No answer/no opinion 7.5 7.6 7.5 3.3 5.2 9.6 5.5       11.6

*Birzeit University Development Studies Programme
**PSR
^Jerusalem Media & Communication Center

If you had to vote for one of the following political groups, who would you vote for? (Total for WB &GS - Bir Zeit)

  8/03 9/30-10/2/05

Fateh

29.6

40.3

Hamas

22.4

23.2

Independent, with Islamic leaning   5.1
Independent, with Fateh leaning   3.6

3) Islamic Jihad

7.4

3.0

4) PFLP

3.1

1.9

5) PPP

2.6

0.8

6) DFLP

1.9

0.9

7) Feda

0.5

0.1

8) Others

2.9

 

9) None

29.6

19.3

Now, I will ask you about some Palestinian political and religious figures, please tell me if you trust, distrust, or have inadequate information? (JMCC Poll)

Total  

Trust (3/99)
Strong Trust (3/00)
In Between (3/99)
Moderate trust (3/00)
I distrust (3/99)
Moderate distrust (3/00) Strong distrust (3/00)
I have no information (3/99)
No answer (3/99)
No answer (3/00)
Fateh
53.0
31.8
19.3
32.0
22.4
13.8 15.8
3.4
1.9
6.8
Hamas
41.0
27.8
30.3
39.5
22.8
11.8 12.5
3.9
2.0
8.4
Palestinian People's Party
9.0
3.8
20.8
22.2
44.9
24.0 32.2
22.9
2.4
17.8
Democratic Front (DFLP)
7.3
3.3
19.9
23.5
49.4
26.2 30.7
21.0
2.4
16.3
Popular Front (PFLP)
11.3
5.3
20.3
23.4
46.5
25.6 30.8
19.4
2.5
14.9
Islamic Jihad
27.3
21.8
32.4
36.2
25.4
17.3 13.7
12.5
2.4
11.0
Fida -- 4.0 -- 25.3 -- 23.4 25.4 -- -- 21.9

West Bank  

Trust (3/99)
Strong trust (3/00)
In Between (3/99)
Moderate trust (3/00)
I distrust (3/99)
Moderate distrust (3/00) Strong distrust (3/00)
I have no information (3/99)
No answer (3/99)
No answer (3/00)
Fateh
52.2
32.0
18.1
34.6
23.3
13.5 11.9
3.9
2.5
8.0
Hamas
37.6
29.1
30.4
39.9
25.0
11.3 11.4
4.9
2.1
8.3
Palestinian People's Party
12.1
4.7
20.5
25.1
42.3
23.6 28.5
21.9
3.2
18.1
Democratic Front
9.2
4.5
20.2
24.2
47.2
24.7 29.8
20.2
3.2
16.8
Popular Front
14.5
6.8
19.4
24.5
44.9
25.1 28.6
17.9
3.3
15.0
Islamic Jihad
31.7
27.7
30.4
37.0
23.1
13.8 11.3
12.2
2.6
10.2
Fida -- 5.6 -- 28.4 -- 21.8 22.0 -- -- 22.2

Gaza Strip  

Trust (3/99)
Strong trust (3/00)
In Between (3/99)
Moderate trust (3/00)
I distrust (3/99)
Moderate distrust (3/00) Strong distrust (3/00)
I have no information (3/99)
No answer (3/99)
No answer (3/00)
Fateh
54.6
31.3
21.2
27.1
20.8
14.2 22.6
2.5
0.9
4.8
Hamas
47.0
25.5
30.2
38.6
18.9
12.8 14.4
2.3
1.6
8.7
Palestinian People's Party
3.7
20.0
21.2
17.4
49.3
24.9 38.6
24.7
1.1
17.1
Democratic Front
3.9
1.4
19.4
22.1
53.2
28.8 32.2
22.4
1.1
15.5
Popular Front
5.9
2.7
21.7
21.5
49.2
26.3 34.7
22.1
1.1
14.8
Islamic Jihad
19.6
11.4
36.1
35.2
29.5
23.3 17.8
13.0
1.8
12.3
Fida -- 1.0 -- 19.9 -- 26.3 31.3 -- -- 21.5

Turning to Palestinian political and religious factions, are your views on Israel very similar to, somewhat similar to, somewhat different from or very different from, the views of each of these factions? (JMCC Poll, March 2000)

PFLP (Palestinian Front for Liberation Palestine)

 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
 
n= 1200
n=762
n=438
Strongly support
 6.4
 8.3
3.2 
Somewhat support
 25.9
25.5
26.7
Somewhat oppose
 23.1
22.8
 23.5
Strongly oppose
 27.5
 26.6
 29.0
No answer
 17.1
16.8 
 17.6

DFLP (Democratic Front for Liberation Palestine)

 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
 
n= 1200
n=762
n=438
Strongly support
4.0 
 5.8
0.9 
Somewhat support
 24.8
25.2
24.2
Somewhat oppose
 24.8
23.4
 27.2
Strongly oppose
 28.2
 27.2
 29.9
No answer
 18.2
18.4 
 17.8

PPP (Palestinian People's Party)

 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
 
n= 1200
n=762
n=438
Strongly support
 4.3
 5.6
2.1 
Somewhat support
 23.3
24.8
20.5
Somewhat oppose
 23.3
22.8
 24.4
Strongly oppose
 28.3
 25.4
 33.3
No answer
 20.8
21.4 
 19.9

Fateh

 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
 
n= 1200
n=762
n=438
Strongly support
 31.5
 32.4
29.9 
Somewhat support
 33.3
35.2
29.9
Somewhat oppose
 13.5
11.7
 16.7
Strongly oppose
 13.7
 12.2
 16.2
No answer
 8.0
8.5 
 7.3

Fida

 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
 
n= 1200
n=762
n=438
Strongly support
5.1 
 6.6
2.5 
Somewhat support
 26.8
28.6
23.5
Somewhat oppose
 20.5
18.9
 23.3
Strongly oppose
 23.5
 21.8
 26.7
No answer
 24.1
24.1 
 24.0

Hamas

 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
 
n= 1200
n=762
n=438
Strongly support
 26.2
 27.3
24.2 
Somewhat support
 37.5
35.7
40.6
Somewhat oppose
 12.3
12.6
 11.9
Strongly oppose
 13.8
 13.8
 13.9
No answer
 10.2
10.6 
 9.4

Islamic Jihad

 
Total 
West Bank
Gaza Strip
 
n= 1200
n=762
n=438
Strongly support
 21.1
26.5 
 11.6
Somewhat support
 37.2
34.5
41.8
Somewhat oppose
 15.0
14.2
 16.4
Strongly oppose
 14.9
 13.8
 16.9
No answer
 11.8
 11.0
13.3 

Sources: JMCC - Jerusalem Media & Communications Centre, IMRA