U.S. Political Party Identification of Jews

(Updated January 2012)


In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, or an Independent? (American Jewish Committee)

  Republican Democrat Independent Not sure
2002 18% 48% 32% 2%
2003 16% 51% 31% 1%
2004 16% 54% 29% 2%
2005 16% 54% 29% 1%
2006 15% 54% 29% 3%
2007 15% 58% 26% 2%
2008 17% 56% 25% 2%
2009 16% 53% 30% 1%
2010 15% 50% 32% 2%
fall 2010 17% 48% 34% 1%
2011 16% 45% 38% 2%

Jews are substantially more likely to identify themselves as Democrats than are members of any other major religious group in the country. Data for 2004 shows that 50% of Jews say they are Democrats, compared with 34% who say they are independents and only 16% who say they are Republicans. These patterns have remained extremely stable since the early 1990s. The national average for partisanship is 28% Republican, 38% independent, and 34% Democrat. Data comparing party identification among Jews between 2008 and 2011 shows considerable gains for Republicans, but the Jewish Democratic voting trend remains strong nonetheless.

 

(Pew Research Center for the People & the Press)

 
2008
2011
Republican gain
Republican/ Lean Republican
20%
29%
+9
Democrat/ Lean Democrat
72%
65%
n/a

 

(Gallup)

 
Republicans
Independents
Democrats
Sample Size
Oct. 2002-May 2004
16%
34%
50%
382
Feb. 2001-Sept. 2002
17%
33%
50%
408
Jan. 1992-Jan. 2001
18%
32%
50%
800

*Note that the small sample size increases the margin of error.

In every poll, Gallup asks independents if they lean more toward the Republican Party or the Democratic Party. The resulting partisanship measures serve as a useful predictor of how people will vote, because partisanship is such a strong predictor of vote choice, and those who lean to one party are highly likely to also support that party. These data show Jews who identify as political independents are more likely to lean toward the Democratic Party than toward the Republican. Taken together, more than two in three Jews, 68%, either identify as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party. Twenty-eight percent of Jews are either Republican or lean Republican, and 4% are independents with no partisan leanings.

 
Republicans
Republican Leaners
Democrats
Democratic Leaners
Independents
(No Lean)
Oct. 2002-May 2004
28%
68%
4%

 


Sources: American Jewish Committee; Pew Forum; Gallup

Join the AICE mailing list here:
Email:

Share This Article: Twitter Facebook